Las Vegas Lights 2-2 Oakland Roots — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 12 Oct 2025

📅12/10/2025 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.47
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
40%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.52
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.12
6+ Goals
11%
10.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.52 — our 25% vs market 21.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
+0.2pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.8pp
40%
Away Win
37%
+2.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.9pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Las Vegas Lights EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Oakland Roots EU Bookmakers 40%
-11% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.23/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.50
-3% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -42%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
333 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 80%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
16.7 Crosses 14.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Las Vegas Lights
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Oakland Roots
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.03 xG 1.39
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
278 Passes 347
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
30.03.2025 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots 0-0 HT 0-0 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights USLP
20.10.2024 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights 2-3 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots USLP
31.03.2024 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots 0-3 HT 0-0 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights USLP
10.09.2023 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights 3-1 HT 0-1 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots USLP
27.07.2023 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots 1-0 HT 0-0 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights USLP
24.07.2022 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots 0-2 HT 0-0 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Las Vegas Lights
2-2
AWAY Oakland Roots
0.39 xG 1.63
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
287 Passes 405
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
10 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Las Vegas Lights vs Oakland Roots
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Las Vegas Lights and Oakland Roots couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 23% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Las Vegas Lights had 44% of the ball to Oakland Roots's 56%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 0.39 to 1.63.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Las Vegas Lights had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Las Vegas Lights and 0.83 for Oakland Roots.

What was the final score of Las Vegas Lights vs Oakland Roots?

Las Vegas Lights 2-2 Oakland Roots in the USL Championship on 12/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Las Vegas Lights vs Oakland Roots?

Before kick-off our model rated an Oakland Roots win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Las Vegas Lights 37%, draw 23%, Oakland Roots 40%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Oakland Roots), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Oakland Roots) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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