Rhode Island vs Tampa Bay Rowdies Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Rhode Island v Tampa Bay Rowdies — Team-Based Signals
Rhode Island vs Tampa Bay Rowdies Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Rhode Island 5-0 Tampa Bay Rowdies — Actual Match Statistics
Rhode Island ran out comfortable winners over Tampa Bay Rowdies 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Rhode Island as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Rhode Island had 47% of the ball to Tampa Bay Rowdies's 53%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 2.88 to 1.00.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Rhode Island had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Rhode Island and 1.67 for Tampa Bay Rowdies.
What was the final score of Rhode Island vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
Rhode Island 5-0 Tampa Bay Rowdies in the USL Championship on 12/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Rhode Island vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
Before kick-off our model rated a Rhode Island win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Rhode Island 43%, draw 25%, Tampa Bay Rowdies 32%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rhode Island) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.