New Mexico United vs Orange County SC Prediction — Model Probabilities
New Mexico United v Orange County SC — Team-Based Signals
New Mexico United vs Orange County SC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
New Mexico United 3-3 Orange County SC — Actual Match Statistics
New Mexico United and Orange County SC shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 2-3. A 6-goal game — the defences never settled.
A gentle 49% lean on New Mexico United didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 51% and both teams to score at 54%.
The match data tells the story: possession split 65% to 35% in New Mexico United's favour, shots finished 16-16, expected goals 3.42 to 1.75.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, New Mexico United had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.67 a game for New Mexico United against 0.50 for Orange County SC.
New Mexico United vs Orange County SC Result & Final Score
New Mexico United 3 - 3 Orange County SC in the USL Championship on 12/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
New Mexico United vs Orange County SC Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a New Mexico United win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split New Mexico United 49%, draw 26%, Orange County SC 25%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (New Mexico United) went the other way.