Louisville City vs Miami FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Louisville City v Miami FC — Team-Based Signals
Louisville City vs Miami FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-3
HT 1-1
Louisville City
USLP
3-1
HT 1-1
Miami FC
USLP
1-0
HT 1-0
Louisville City
USLP
Louisville City 1-0 Miami FC — Actual Match Statistics
Louisville City edged past Miami FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Louisville City as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Louisville City had 47% of the ball to Miami FC's 53%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 1.06 to 0.36.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Louisville City had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Louisville City and 1.50 for Miami FC.
What was the final score of Louisville City vs Miami FC?
Louisville City 1-0 Miami FC in the USL Championship on 12/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Louisville City vs Miami FC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Louisville City win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Louisville City 70%, draw 16%, Miami FC 13%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Louisville City) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.