Louisville City vs Miami FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Louisville City v Miami FC — Team-Based Signals
Louisville City vs Miami FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Louisville City 1-0 Miami FC — Actual Match Statistics
Louisville City found just enough to beat Miami FC 1-0. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
As we said in the preview, our model had Louisville City as the likeliest winner at 76%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (64%) never looked like landing.
By the numbers, Louisville City had 47% of the ball to Miami FC's 53%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 1.06 to 0.36.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Louisville City had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Louisville City and 1.50 for Miami FC.
Louisville City vs Miami FC Result & Final Score
Louisville City 1 - 0 Miami FC in the USL Championship on 12/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Louisville City vs Miami FC Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Louisville City win the most likely single outcome at about 76%, with the full match-result split Louisville City 76%, draw 15%, Miami FC 9%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Louisville City) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.