Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2-1 Indy Eleven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 12 Oct 2025

📅12/10/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.82
Draw
20%
3.35
Away
17%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.75
Over 2.5
52%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
4%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
51%
+12.5pp
20%
Draw
26%
-6.1pp
16%
Away Win
23%
-6.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
53%
-4.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
47%
+4.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.1pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pittsburgh Riverhounds EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Indy Eleven EU Bookmakers 26%
+4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -20%
1.56/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.44
-6% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
334 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 74%
27.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
21.9 Crosses 17.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Indy Eleven
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.16 xG 0.78
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
298 Passes 392
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
15.06.2025 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven 1-0 HT 1-0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds USLP
01.09.2024 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven 1-1 HT 0-0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds USLP
02.06.2024 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1-2 HT 0-1 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven USLP
27.07.2023 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1-3 HT 0-2 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven USLP
30.04.2023 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven 1-1 HT 0-1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds USLP
07.08.2022 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven 0-2 HT 0-1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pittsburgh Riverhounds
2-1
AWAY Indy Eleven
1.74 xG 1.22
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 7
230 Passes 195
63% Pass Accuracy 59%
19 Box Touches 20
23 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Indy Eleven
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pittsburgh Riverhounds squeezed past Indy Eleven 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Pittsburgh Riverhounds as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Pittsburgh Riverhounds had 52% of the ball to Indy Eleven's 48%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 1.74 to 1.22.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Indy Eleven led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Pittsburgh Riverhounds and 1.33 for Indy Eleven.

What was the final score of Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Indy Eleven?

Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2-1 Indy Eleven in the USL Championship on 12/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Indy Eleven?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pittsburgh Riverhounds win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Pittsburgh Riverhounds 63%, draw 20%, Indy Eleven 16%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pittsburgh Riverhounds), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pittsburgh Riverhounds) ✓ Over 2.5
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