Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Indy Eleven Prediction — Model Probabilities
Pittsburgh Riverhounds v Indy Eleven — Team-Based Signals
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Indy Eleven Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2-1 Indy Eleven — Actual Match Statistics
Pittsburgh Riverhounds shaded a tight game against Indy Eleven 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Pittsburgh Riverhounds as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 48% and both teams to score at 50%, coin-flips both.
On the day, possession split 52% to 48% in Pittsburgh Riverhounds's favour, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 1.74 to 1.22.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Indy Eleven led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Pittsburgh Riverhounds against 1.33 for Indy Eleven.
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Indy Eleven Result & Final Score
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2 - 1 Indy Eleven in the USL Championship on 12/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Indy Eleven Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Pittsburgh Riverhounds win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Pittsburgh Riverhounds 56%, draw 26%, Indy Eleven 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pittsburgh Riverhounds) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.