Mallorca 3-0 Real Oviedo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 23 May 2026

📅23/05/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
59%
1.49
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
20%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under
42%
1.9
Over
58%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.99
No
49%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1
21%
3.17
2-3
43%
1.74
4-5
25%
3.45
6+
11%
13.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.84
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
5%
17.05
X/1
18%
3.77
X/2
5%
12.1
X/X
12%
5.55
2/1
10%
23.5
2/2
9%
10.6
2/X
4%
19.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Mallorca win — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
59%
Home Win
63%
-3.8pp
21%
Draw
21%
-0.1pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+3.9pp
42%
Under 2.5
49%
-6.4pp
58%
Over 2.5
51%
+6.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
46%
+4.5pp
49%
BTTS No
54%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mallorca The Market 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Oviedo The Market 19%
-2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +5%
1.36/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.68
-33% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -17%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
374 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 75%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
25.2 Crosses 14.5
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mallorca
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Real Oviedo
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.67 xG 0.88
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
264 Passes 309
71% Pass Accuracy 73%
18 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.12.2025 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 0-0 HT 0-0 Mallorca Mallorca İS1
20.03.2021 Mallorca Mallorca 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
03.01.2021 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 2-2 HT 1-2 Mallorca Mallorca İS2
09.03.2019 Mallorca Mallorca 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
04.11.2018 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 1-1 HT 1-0 Mallorca Mallorca İS2
11.09.2018 Mallorca Mallorca 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İSPK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mallorca
3-0
AWAY Real Oviedo
2.61 xG 0.34
58% Ball Possession 42%
23 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 5
410 Passes 274
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
39 Box Touches 9
32 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mallorca vs Real Oviedo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mallorca cruised past Real Oviedo 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Mallorca as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Mallorca had 58% of the ball to Real Oviedo's 42%, shots finished 23-7, expected goals 2.61 to 0.34.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mallorca had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Mallorca and 0.50 for Real Oviedo.

What was the final score of Mallorca vs Real Oviedo?

Mallorca 3-0 Real Oviedo in the Spain - Primera Liga on 23/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mallorca vs Real Oviedo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mallorca win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Mallorca 59%, draw 21%, Real Oviedo 20%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mallorca), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mallorca) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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