Celta Vigo vs Sevilla Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Celta Vigo v Sevilla — Team-Based Signals
Celta Vigo vs Sevilla Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Celta Vigo 1-0 Sevilla — Actual Match Statistics
Celta Vigo nicked a narrow win over Sevilla 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Celta Vigo as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Celta Vigo had 55% of the ball to Sevilla's 45%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 1.59 to 0.82.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celta Vigo had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Celta Vigo and 1.17 for Sevilla.
What was the final score of Celta Vigo vs Sevilla?
Celta Vigo 1-0 Sevilla in the Spain - Primera Liga on 23/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Celta Vigo vs Sevilla?
Before kick-off our model rated a Celta Vigo win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Celta Vigo 49%, draw 26%, Sevilla 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celta Vigo) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.