Getafe 1-0 Osasuna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 23 May 2026

📅23/05/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
38%
2.63
Away
28%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
70%
1.33
Over
30%
3.14
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.44
No
56%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1
40%
1.75
2-3
43%
1.86
4-5
12%
7.64
6+
5%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
4.47
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
6%
14.5
X/1
19%
5.55
X/2
13%
5.6
X/X
22%
2.85
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
11%
4.53
2/X
10%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 70%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.4pp
38%
Draw
35%
+3.0pp
28%
Away Win
31%
-3.4pp
70%
Under 2.5
72%
-1.4pp
30%
Over 2.5
28%
+1.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
37%
+6.8pp
56%
BTTS No
63%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Getafe The Market 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Osasuna The Market 34%
+2% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -14%
1.02/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.33
-23% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +11%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
287 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 76%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
20.2 Crosses 19.0
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Getafe
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Osasuna
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.11 xG 0.91
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
221 Passes 282
68% Pass Accuracy 72%
20 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 2
03.10.2025 Osasuna Osasuna 2-1 HT 1-1 Getafe Getafe İS1
16.03.2025 Osasuna Osasuna 1-2 HT 1-0 Getafe Getafe İS1
05.10.2024 Getafe Getafe 1-1 HT 1-0 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
21.01.2024 Osasuna Osasuna 3-2 HT 2-0 Getafe Getafe İS1
17.09.2023 Getafe Getafe 3-2 HT 1-1 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
28.05.2023 Getafe Getafe 2-1 HT 1-1 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Getafe
1-0
AWAY Osasuna
0.27 xG 0.51
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
184 Passes 135
69% Pass Accuracy 61%
13 Box Touches 15
13 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Getafe vs Osasuna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Getafe edged past Osasuna 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 38% / 28%) promised a tight game; Getafe found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Getafe had 53% of the ball to Osasuna's 47%, shots finished 7-11, expected goals 0.27 to 0.51.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Getafe had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Getafe and 1.67 for Osasuna.

What was the final score of Getafe vs Osasuna?

Getafe 1-0 Osasuna in the Spain - Primera Liga on 23/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Getafe vs Osasuna?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Getafe 34%, draw 38%, Osasuna 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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