Girona vs Elche Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Girona v Elche — Team-Based Signals
Girona vs Elche Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Girona 1-1 Elche — Actual Match Statistics
Girona and Elche couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Girona at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.
On the day, Girona had 56% of the ball to Elche's 44%, shots finished 10-3, expected goals 0.58 to 0.18.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Girona had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Girona and 0.83 for Elche.
What was the final score of Girona vs Elche?
Girona 1-1 Elche in the Spain - Primera Liga on 23/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Girona vs Elche?
Before kick-off our model rated a Girona win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Girona 53%, draw 21%, Elche 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Girona), Over 2.5 went the other way.