Minnesota United 1-1 Real Salt Lake — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 23 May 2026

📅23/05/2026 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.02
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
27%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.18
Over 2.5
54%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.55
No
42%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.16
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
25%
2.86
6+ Goals
12%
8.48
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.79
1/2 EV+ ✗
6%
30.0
1/X
6%
12.15
X/1
15%
5.1
X/2
8%
7.22
X/X
9%
5.24
2/1
7%
22.25
2/2
13%
4.77
2/X
8%
12.75
Value flag · 1/2 at 30.0 — our 6% vs market 1.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
46%
+4.4pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.5pp
27%
Away Win
29%
-1.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
42%
+3.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
58%
-3.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.6pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Minnesota United EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Salt Lake EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -7%
1.69/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.98
-4% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -18%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
322 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 82%
26.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
17.9 Crosses 15.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Minnesota United
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Real Salt Lake
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.36 xG 1.38
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
296 Passes 425
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
24.08.2025 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 1-3 HT 1-2 Minnesota United Minnesota United ABD
30.03.2025 Minnesota United Minnesota United 2-0 HT 1-0 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD
03.11.2024 Minnesota United Minnesota United 1-1 HT 0-0 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD
30.10.2024 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 0-0 HT 0-0 Minnesota United Minnesota United ABD
03.10.2024 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 0-0 HT 0-0 Minnesota United Minnesota United ABD
07.04.2024 Minnesota United Minnesota United 1-1 HT 0-1 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Minnesota United
1-1
AWAY Real Salt Lake
0.94 xG 0.33
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 3
363 Passes 261
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
28 Box Touches 12
22 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Minnesota United vs Real Salt Lake
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Minnesota United and Real Salt Lake shared the points in a 1-1 draw in the USA - Major League on 23 May 2026. Half-time: 0-1.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 58%.

On the day, Minnesota United had 57% of the ball to Real Salt Lake's 43%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 0.94 to 0.33.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Minnesota United have the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Minnesota United and 0.50 for Real Salt Lake.

What was the final score of Minnesota United vs Real Salt Lake?

Minnesota United 1-1 Real Salt Lake in the USA - Major League on 23/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Minnesota United vs Real Salt Lake?

Before kick-off our model rated a Minnesota United win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Minnesota United 50%, draw 23%, Real Salt Lake 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Minnesota United), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Minnesota United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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