Real Salt Lake 1-3 Minnesota United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 24 Aug 2025

📅24/08/2025 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.25
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.07
Over 2.5
54%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.6
No
43%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.74
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
25%
3.04
6+ Goals
12%
9.93
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.24
1/2
7%
27.0
1/X
6%
12.8
X/1
16%
5.32
X/2
12%
6.11
X/X
9%
5.13
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
24.1
2/2
15%
4.01
2/X
8%
13.05
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.1 — our 7% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
41%
+3.2pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.1pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-0.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.0pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Salt Lake EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Minnesota United EU Bookmakers 37%
+6% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +25%
1.36/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.32
-13% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +26%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
348 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 80%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.2
19.7 Crosses 15.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Salt Lake
0W-5D-1L
AWAY Minnesota United
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.43 xG 1.63
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
432 Passes 296
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2025 Minnesota United Minnesota United 2-0 HT 1-0 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD
03.11.2024 Minnesota United Minnesota United 1-1 HT 0-0 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD
30.10.2024 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 0-0 HT 0-0 Minnesota United Minnesota United ABD
03.10.2024 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 0-0 HT 0-0 Minnesota United Minnesota United ABD
07.04.2024 Minnesota United Minnesota United 1-1 HT 0-1 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD
25.06.2023 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 2-2 HT 0-2 Minnesota United Minnesota United ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Salt Lake
1-3
AWAY Minnesota United
2.05 xG 0.71
68% Ball Possession 32%
27 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
486 Passes 198
89% Pass Accuracy 72%
39 Box Touches 14
48 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Real Salt Lake vs Minnesota United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Minnesota United got the better of Real Salt Lake 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Real Salt Lake at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Real Salt Lake had 68% of the ball to Minnesota United's 32%, shots finished 27-9, expected goals 2.05 to 0.71 — the balance of chances actually favoured Real Salt Lake.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Minnesota United led the recent series with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Real Salt Lake and 1.00 for Minnesota United.

What was the final score of Real Salt Lake vs Minnesota United?

Real Salt Lake 1-3 Minnesota United in the USA - Major League on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Salt Lake vs Minnesota United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Salt Lake win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Real Salt Lake 44%, draw 23%, Minnesota United 33%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Real Salt Lake) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Salt Lake) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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