St. Louis City 3-0 Austin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 23 May 2026

📅23/05/2026 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.75
Draw
18%
3.72
Away
22%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
2.29
Over 2.5
69%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.55
No
35%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
4.58
2-3 Goals
34%
1.88
4-5 Goals
29%
2.73
6+ Goals
19%
7.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
2.22
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
5%
13.05
X/1
20%
4.57
X/2
7%
8.98
X/X
6%
5.87
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
20.2
2/2
9%
6.3
2/X
7%
14.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.2 — our 8% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
53%
+7.2pp
18%
Draw
24%
-5.8pp
22%
Away Win
24%
-1.5pp
31%
Under 2.5
40%
-8.4pp
69%
Over 2.5
60%
+8.4pp
65%
BTTS Yes
60%
+4.2pp
35%
BTTS No
40%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Louis City EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Austin EU Bookmakers 27%
+1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +8%
1.62/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.97
-5% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
345 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 80%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
20.6 Crosses 16.6
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Louis City
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Austin
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.82 xG 1.37
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
318 Passes 333
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
28 Box Touches 22
23 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.05.2026 Austin Austin 2-0 HT 0-0 St. Louis City St. Louis City ABD
05.10.2025 Austin Austin 1-3 HT 1-2 St. Louis City St. Louis City ABD
30.03.2025 St. Louis City St. Louis City 0-1 HT 0-1 Austin Austin ABD
14.04.2024 St. Louis City St. Louis City 1-0 HT 0-0 Austin Austin ABD
10.03.2024 Austin Austin 2-2 HT 1-0 St. Louis City St. Louis City ABD
21.08.2023 St. Louis City St. Louis City 6-3 HT 2-0 Austin Austin ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Louis City
3-0
AWAY Austin
1.04 xG 0.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 2
386 Passes 450
84% Pass Accuracy 86%
16 Box Touches 25
10 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ St. Louis City vs Austin
Match summary & frequently asked questions

St. Louis City ran out comfortable winners over Austin 3-0 in the USA - Major League on 23 May 2026. Half-time: 1-0.

The goals market leaned clearly over 2.5, at 69% and both teams to score was favoured at 65%.

On the day, St. Louis City had 47% of the ball to Austin's 53%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 1.04 to 0.33.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Louis City have the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for St. Louis City and 1.50 for Austin.

What was the final score of St. Louis City vs Austin?

St. Louis City 3-0 Austin in the USA - Major League on 23/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Louis City vs Austin?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Louis City win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split St. Louis City 60%, draw 18%, Austin 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Louis City), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (St. Louis City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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