Persebaya Surabaya 5-0 Persik Kediri — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 23 May 2026

📅23/05/2026 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
74%
1.43
Draw
16%
4.34
Away
10%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.29
Over 2.5
60%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.68
No
40%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
4%
X/X
3%
2/1
11%
2/2
3%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
74%
Home Win
65%
+8.7pp
16%
Draw
19%
-3.6pp
11%
Away Win
16%
-4.9pp
40%
Under 2.5
40%
+0.6pp
60%
Over 2.5
60%
-0.6pp
60%
BTTS Yes
56%
+4.3pp
40%
BTTS No
44%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Persebaya Surabaya EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Persik Kediri EU Bookmakers 19%
-11% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -2%
1.54/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.89
-14% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -14%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
429 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Persebaya Surabaya
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Persik Kediri
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
372 Passes 237
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
2 Yellow Cards 4
07.11.2025 Persik Kediri Persik Kediri 1-1 HT 0-0 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya ENDL1
05.05.2025 Persik Kediri Persik Kediri 3-3 HT 1-2 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya ENDL1
11.12.2024 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya 4-1 HT 3-1 Persik Kediri Persik Kediri ENDL1
13.12.2022 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya 1-1 HT 0-1 Persik Kediri Persik Kediri ENDL1
10.03.2022 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya 1-0 HT 0-0 Persik Kediri Persik Kediri ENDL1
28.11.2021 Persik Kediri Persik Kediri 0-0 HT 0-0 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya ENDL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Persebaya Surabaya
5-0
AWAY Persik Kediri
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Persebaya Surabaya vs Persik Kediri
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Persebaya Surabaya swept aside Persik Kediri 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Persebaya Surabaya as the likeliest winner at 74%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (60%) landed while both teams to score (60%) missed.

On the day, Persebaya Surabaya had 49% of the ball to Persik Kediri's 51%, shots finished 16-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Persebaya Surabaya had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Persebaya Surabaya and 1.00 for Persik Kediri.

What was the final score of Persebaya Surabaya vs Persik Kediri?

Persebaya Surabaya 5-0 Persik Kediri in the Indonesia League 1 on 23/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Persebaya Surabaya vs Persik Kediri?

Before kick-off our model rated a Persebaya Surabaya win the most likely single outcome at about 74%, with the full match-result split Persebaya Surabaya 74%, draw 16%, Persik Kediri 11%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Persebaya Surabaya), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Persebaya Surabaya) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ENDL1 More Indonesia League 1
23 May 2026
12:00 Borneo FC vs Malut United Analysis →
12:00 Persib Bandung vs Persijap Jepara Analysis →
12:00 Madura United vs PSM Makassar Analysis →