Madura United 2-0 PSM Makassar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 23 May 2026

📅23/05/2026 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.47
Draw
18%
4.19
Away
18%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.18
Over 2.5
55%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
27%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
64%
-0.2pp
18%
Draw
21%
-2.2pp
18%
Away Win
16%
+2.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
42%
+2.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
58%
-2.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.2pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Madura United EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY PSM Makassar EU Bookmakers 19%
-7% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -4%
1.19/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.64
-34% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +0%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
336 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Madura United
2W-1D-3L
AWAY PSM Makassar
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
329 Passes 287
0 Yellow Cards 1
02.11.2025 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar 1-1 HT 0-1 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
02.03.2025 Madura United Madura United 1-3 HT 0-0 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar ENDL1
18.10.2024 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar 2-0 HT 1-0 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
21.04.2024 Madura United Madura United 2-0 HT 2-0 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar ENDL1
15.12.2022 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar 0-1 HT 0-1 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
08.01.2022 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar 1-0 HT 1-0 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
POST-MATCH Madura United vs PSM Makassar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Madura United beat PSM Makassar 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Madura United as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSM Makassar led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Madura United and 1.17 for PSM Makassar.

What was the final score of Madura United vs PSM Makassar?

Madura United 2-0 PSM Makassar in the Indonesia League 1 on 23/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Madura United vs PSM Makassar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Madura United win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Madura United 63%, draw 18%, PSM Makassar 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Madura United) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Madura United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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