Inter Turku 2-1 TPS Turku — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 23 May 2026

📅23/05/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.53
Draw
18%
3.94
Away
26%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.95
Over
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.88
No Pick
57%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
31%
3.41
2-3
37%
1.76
4-5
23%
3.26
6+
9%
11.85
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.41 — our 31% vs market 22.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1.92
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
6%
15.8
X/1
16%
3.93
X/2
10%
11.15
X/X
7%
5.6
2/1
6%
22.25
2/2
12%
9.28
2/X
5%
17.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
56%
Home Win
61%
-5.3pp
18%
Draw
22%
-4.5pp
26%
Away Win
17%
+9.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.8pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter Turku The Market 66%
Head to Head
AWAY TPS Turku The Market 20%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
2.21/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/0.73
+8% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
394 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 78%
36.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.8
19.9 Crosses 16.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter Turku
3W-1D-2L
AWAY TPS Turku
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
07.02.2026 TPS Turku TPS Turku 0-3 HT 0-1 Inter Turku Inter Turku FLK
22.10.2020 Inter Turku Inter Turku 3-0 HT 3-0 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN
22.08.2020 TPS Turku TPS Turku 1-0 HT 1-0 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
29.02.2020 Inter Turku Inter Turku 1-0 HT 1-0 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİK
17.09.2018 TPS Turku TPS Turku 1-0 HT 0-0 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
20.06.2018 TPS Turku TPS Turku 1-1 HT 1-0 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter Turku
2-1
AWAY TPS Turku
2.06 xG 1.23
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 1
321 Passes 241
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
30 Box Touches 21
23 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Inter Turku vs TPS Turku
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter Turku squeezed past TPS Turku 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Inter Turku as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Inter Turku had 56% of the ball to TPS Turku's 44%, shots finished 17-12, expected goals 2.06 to 1.23.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inter Turku had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Inter Turku and 0.50 for TPS Turku.

What was the final score of Inter Turku vs TPS Turku?

Inter Turku 2-1 TPS Turku in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 23/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter Turku vs TPS Turku?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter Turku win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Inter Turku 56%, draw 18%, TPS Turku 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter Turku) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Inter Turku) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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