Jaro vs IFK Mariehamn Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Jaro v IFK Mariehamn — Team-Based Signals
Jaro vs IFK Mariehamn Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Jaro 3-0 IFK Mariehamn — Actual Match Statistics
Jaro ran out comfortable winners over IFK Mariehamn 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Jaro as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Jaro had 41% of the ball to IFK Mariehamn's 59%, shots finished 18-7, expected goals 2.37 to 0.45.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, IFK Mariehamn led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Jaro and 1.50 for IFK Mariehamn.
What was the final score of Jaro vs IFK Mariehamn?
Jaro 3-0 IFK Mariehamn in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 23/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Jaro vs IFK Mariehamn?
Before kick-off our model rated a Jaro win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Jaro 45%, draw 27%, IFK Mariehamn 28%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jaro) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.