Ilves Tampere vs Gnistan Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ilves Tampere v Gnistan — Team-Based Signals
Ilves Tampere vs Gnistan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Ilves Tampere 2-0 Gnistan — Actual Match Statistics
Ilves Tampere beat Gnistan 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Ilves Tampere as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Ilves Tampere had 57% of the ball to Gnistan's 43%, shots finished 9-6, expected goals 1.43 to 0.65.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ilves Tampere had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Ilves Tampere and 1.50 for Gnistan.
What was the final score of Ilves Tampere vs Gnistan?
Ilves Tampere 2-0 Gnistan in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 23/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ilves Tampere vs Gnistan?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ilves Tampere win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Ilves Tampere 45%, draw 27%, Gnistan 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ilves Tampere), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.