Gnistan 1-3 Ilves Tampere — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 25 Oct 2025

📅25/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
4.48
Draw
16%
4.34
Away Pick
69%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under
36%
2.96
Over
64%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.46
No
40%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1
18%
7.15
2-3
41%
2.26
4-5
25%
2.5
6+
16%
4.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
7.64
1/2
7%
17.5
1/X
4%
15.9
X/1
5%
11.45
X/2
29%
4.52
X/X
5%
7.72
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
33%
1.87
2/X
7%
14.55
Value flag · X/2 at 4.52 — our 29% vs market 17.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Ilves Tampere win — 69%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
15%
Home Win
19%
-3.6pp
16%
Draw
20%
-3.6pp
68%
Away Win
61%
+7.2pp
36%
Under 2.5
30%
+6.3pp
64%
Over 2.5
70%
-6.3pp
60%
BTTS Yes
64%
-4.0pp
40%
BTTS No
36%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gnistan The Market 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Ilves Tampere The Market 66%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +3%
0.81/2.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.21/0.98
+1% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +1%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
232 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 437 · 86%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 39.0
15.9 Crosses 20.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gnistan
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Ilves Tampere
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.57 xG 2.02
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
228 Passes 383
72% Pass Accuracy 82%
26 Box Touches 32
21 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 2
23.09.2025 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 3-2 HT 1-0 Gnistan Gnistan FİN
04.08.2025 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 2-2 HT 1-1 Gnistan Gnistan FİN
01.06.2025 Gnistan Gnistan 0-2 HT 0-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
28.05.2025 Gnistan Gnistan 3-0 HT 0-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİK
01.09.2024 Gnistan Gnistan 1-1 HT 0-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
13.04.2024 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 4-6 HT 2-0 Gnistan Gnistan FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gnistan
1-3
AWAY Ilves Tampere
1.46 xG 4.24
52% Ball Possession 48%
22 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 1
344 Passes 333
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
38 Box Touches 30
25 Crosses 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gnistan vs Ilves Tampere
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ilves Tampere got the better of Gnistan 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ilves Tampere as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Gnistan had 52% of the ball to Ilves Tampere's 48%, shots finished 22-14, expected goals 1.46 to 4.24.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Gnistan and 2.00 for Ilves Tampere.

What was the final score of Gnistan vs Ilves Tampere?

Gnistan 1-3 Ilves Tampere in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gnistan vs Ilves Tampere?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ilves Tampere win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Gnistan 15%, draw 16%, Ilves Tampere 68%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ilves Tampere), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ilves Tampere) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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