Ilves Tampere vs Gnistan Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ilves Tampere v Gnistan — Team-Based Signals
Ilves Tampere vs Gnistan Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
Ilves Tampere 3-2 Gnistan — Actual Match Statistics
Ilves Tampere squeezed past Gnistan 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ilves Tampere as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Ilves Tampere had 50% of the ball to Gnistan's 50%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 2.40 to 2.11.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Gnistan led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Ilves Tampere and 2.40 for Gnistan.
What was the final score of Ilves Tampere vs Gnistan?
Ilves Tampere 3-2 Gnistan in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 23/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ilves Tampere vs Gnistan?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ilves Tampere win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Ilves Tampere 61%, draw 19%, Gnistan 19%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ilves Tampere), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.