KuPS Kuopio 3-2 SJK Seinajoki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 23 Sep 2025

📅23/09/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.23
Over 2.5
63%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.5
No
35%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
4.65
2-3 Goals
38%
1.93
4-5 Goals
30%
2.9
6+ Goals
14%
8.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.85
1/2
7%
28.0
1/X
6%
12.55
X/1
18%
5.17
X/2
7%
7.0
X/X
13%
5.58
2/1
8%
21.7
2/2
20%
4.53
2/X
5%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-3.9pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.6pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+4.4pp
37%
Under 2.5
41%
-4.4pp
63%
Over 2.5
59%
+4.4pp
65%
BTTS Yes
62%
+2.6pp
35%
BTTS No
38%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KuPS Kuopio EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY SJK Seinajoki EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -2%
1.21/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.39
-8% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
302 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 82%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
16.7 Crosses 23.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KuPS Kuopio
4W-2D-0L
AWAY SJK Seinajoki
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.26 xG 1.31
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
423 Passes 370
86% Pass Accuracy 85%
24 Box Touches 28
17 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 3
31.08.2025 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 1-1 HT 1-1 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
02.05.2025 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 1-0 HT 1-0 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
15.02.2025 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 1-3 HT 0-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FLK
05.10.2024 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 0-1 HT 0-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
22.08.2024 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 2-2 HT 2-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİK
04.08.2024 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 2-1 HT 1-0 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KuPS Kuopio
3-2
AWAY SJK Seinajoki
2.95 xG 1.70
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
383 Passes 380
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
25 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH KuPS Kuopio vs SJK Seinajoki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KuPS Kuopio nicked a narrow win over SJK Seinajoki 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had KuPS Kuopio as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (65%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, KuPS Kuopio had 50% of the ball to SJK Seinajoki's 50%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 2.95 to 1.70 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold KuPS Kuopio's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, KuPS Kuopio had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for KuPS Kuopio and 0.83 for SJK Seinajoki.

What was the final score of KuPS Kuopio vs SJK Seinajoki?

KuPS Kuopio 3-2 SJK Seinajoki in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 23/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KuPS Kuopio vs SJK Seinajoki?

Before kick-off our model rated a KuPS Kuopio win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split KuPS Kuopio 41%, draw 24%, SJK Seinajoki 35%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KuPS Kuopio), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (KuPS Kuopio) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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