SJK Seinajoki 1-1 KuPS Kuopio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 31 Aug 2025

📅31/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.57
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
45%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.33
Over 2.5
54%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.46
No
45%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.92
2-3 Goals
36%
1.96
4-5 Goals
26%
2.79
6+ Goals
11%
7.34
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.94
1/2
6%
21.95
1/X
6%
12.8
X/1
10%
6.42
X/2
17%
5.43
X/X
8%
5.77
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
25.5
2/2
22%
3.05
2/X
8%
12.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 8% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
35%
-2.3pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.4pp
46%
Away Win
41%
+4.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
39%
+7.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
61%
-7.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
64%
-9.4pp
45%
BTTS No
36%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SJK Seinajoki EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY KuPS Kuopio EU Bookmakers 45%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +7%
1.26/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/0.84
-10% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +13%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
334 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 82%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.9
20.7 Crosses 21.4
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SJK Seinajoki
0W-2D-4L
AWAY KuPS Kuopio
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.74 xG 1.18
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
366 Passes 438
84% Pass Accuracy 86%
23 Box Touches 22
24 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 2
02.05.2025 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 1-0 HT 1-0 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
15.02.2025 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 1-3 HT 0-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FLK
05.10.2024 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 0-1 HT 0-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
22.08.2024 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 2-2 HT 2-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİK
04.08.2024 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 2-1 HT 1-0 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
04.05.2024 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 1-1 HT 1-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SJK Seinajoki
1-1
AWAY KuPS Kuopio
2.89 xG 2.16
45% Ball Possession 55%
21 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 6
317 Passes 417
85% Pass Accuracy 87%
42 Box Touches 29
32 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH SJK Seinajoki vs KuPS Kuopio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SJK Seinajoki and KuPS Kuopio couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was KuPS Kuopio at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, SJK Seinajoki had 45% of the ball to KuPS Kuopio's 55%, shots finished 21-14, expected goals 2.89 to 2.16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, KuPS Kuopio led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for SJK Seinajoki and 1.67 for KuPS Kuopio.

What was the final score of SJK Seinajoki vs KuPS Kuopio?

SJK Seinajoki 1-1 KuPS Kuopio in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SJK Seinajoki vs KuPS Kuopio?

Before kick-off our model rated an KuPS Kuopio win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split SJK Seinajoki 33%, draw 22%, KuPS Kuopio 46%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (KuPS Kuopio), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (KuPS Kuopio) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FİN More Finland - Veikkausliiga
31 Aug 2025
17:00 Inter Turku vs VPS Analysis →
17:00 Oulu vs Haka Analysis →
17:00 Ilves Tampere vs IFK Mariehamn Analysis →
17:00 KTP Kotka vs HJK Helsinki Analysis →
17:00 Gnistan vs Jaro Analysis →