Ilves Tampere vs IFK Mariehamn Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ilves Tampere v IFK Mariehamn — Team-Based Signals
Ilves Tampere vs IFK Mariehamn Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
IFK Mariehamn
FİN
0-0
HT 0-0
IFK Mariehamn
FİN
1-1
HT 1-0
Ilves Tampere
FİN
Ilves Tampere 2-1 IFK Mariehamn — Actual Match Statistics
Ilves Tampere squeezed past IFK Mariehamn 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ilves Tampere as the likeliest winner at 73%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Ilves Tampere had 64% of the ball to IFK Mariehamn's 36%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 2.74 to 1.32 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Ilves Tampere's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ilves Tampere had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ilves Tampere and 0.83 for IFK Mariehamn.
What was the final score of Ilves Tampere vs IFK Mariehamn?
Ilves Tampere 2-1 IFK Mariehamn in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ilves Tampere vs IFK Mariehamn?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ilves Tampere win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Ilves Tampere 73%, draw 16%, IFK Mariehamn 11%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ilves Tampere), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.