Oulu 3-2 Haka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 31 Aug 2025

Oulu
3-2 HT 3-1
Haka
📅31/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.92
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
35%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.77
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals
23%
3.23
6+ Goals
11%
11.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.63
1/2
8%
33.0
1/X
6%
13.3
X/1
11%
4.64
X/2
13%
7.29
X/X
9%
5.2
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
22.35
2/2
14%
5.25
2/X
8%
14.05
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.35 — our 10% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-6.0pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.8pp
35%
Away Win
27%
+7.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.8pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oulu EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Haka EU Bookmakers 31%
+2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -1%
1.56/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.50
-5% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -12%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
326 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 71%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
19.2 Crosses 20.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oulu
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Haka
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.42 xG 1.35
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
345 Passes 324
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
27 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 3
19.04.2025 Haka Haka 2-1 HT 0-1 Oulu Oulu FİN
24.08.2024 Oulu Oulu 0-1 HT 0-1 Haka Haka FİN
24.05.2024 Haka Haka 4-3 HT 1-0 Oulu Oulu FİN
27.01.2024 Oulu Oulu 0-0 HT 0-0 Haka Haka FLK
21.10.2023 Oulu Oulu 1-1 HT 1-0 Haka Haka FİN
01.07.2023 Oulu Oulu 3-0 HT 3-0 Haka Haka FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oulu
3-2
AWAY Haka
1.57 xG 0.52
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
281 Passes 356
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 16
10 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Oulu vs Haka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oulu squeezed past Haka 3-2. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Oulu as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Oulu had 44% of the ball to Haka's 56%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.57 to 0.52.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Haka led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Oulu and 1.33 for Haka.

What was the final score of Oulu vs Haka?

Oulu 3-2 Haka in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oulu vs Haka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oulu win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Oulu 42%, draw 23%, Haka 35%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Oulu), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Oulu) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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