IFK Mariehamn vs Ilves Tampere Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
IFK Mariehamn v Ilves Tampere — Team-Based Signals
IFK Mariehamn vs Ilves Tampere Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
IFK Mariehamn
FİN
0-0
HT 0-0
IFK Mariehamn
FİN
1-1
HT 1-0
Ilves Tampere
FİN
2-3
HT 1-1
IFK Mariehamn
FİN
IFK Mariehamn 3-2 Ilves Tampere — Actual Match Statistics
IFK Mariehamn edged past Ilves Tampere 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Ilves Tampere at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, IFK Mariehamn had 40% of the ball to Ilves Tampere's 60%, shots finished 13-25, expected goals 1.40 to 2.04 — on chances, Ilves Tampere could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ilves Tampere led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for IFK Mariehamn and 1.33 for Ilves Tampere.
What was the final score of IFK Mariehamn vs Ilves Tampere?
IFK Mariehamn 3-2 Ilves Tampere in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for IFK Mariehamn vs Ilves Tampere?
Before kick-off our model rated an Ilves Tampere win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split IFK Mariehamn 22%, draw 27%, Ilves Tampere 51%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Ilves Tampere) went the other way.