Thanh Hoa 1-1 Hoang Anh Gia Lai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Vietnam - V-League 1, 23 May 2026

📅23/05/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.12
Draw
23%
3.11
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
43%
+4.9pp
23%
Draw
29%
-5.2pp
28%
Away Win
28%
+0.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.2pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Thanh Hoa EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Hoang Anh Gia Lai EU Bookmakers 32%
-7% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +0%
1.30/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.12
-5% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
293 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Thanh Hoa
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Hoang Anh Gia Lai
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
65% Ball Possession 35%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2025 Hoang Anh Gia Lai Hoang Anh Gia Lai 1-1 HT 0-1 Thanh Hoa Thanh Hoa VİET
13.09.2025 Thanh Hoa Thanh Hoa 0-2 HT 0-0 Hoang Anh Gia Lai Hoang Anh Gia Lai VİETK
09.03.2025 Thanh Hoa Thanh Hoa 2-2 HT 0-0 Hoang Anh Gia Lai Hoang Anh Gia Lai VİET
26.10.2024 Hoang Anh Gia Lai Hoang Anh Gia Lai 1-1 HT 0-0 Thanh Hoa Thanh Hoa VİET
30.05.2024 Hoang Anh Gia Lai Hoang Anh Gia Lai 1-1 HT 1-1 Thanh Hoa Thanh Hoa VİET
02.03.2024 Thanh Hoa Thanh Hoa 1-2 HT 0-1 Hoang Anh Gia Lai Hoang Anh Gia Lai VİET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Thanh Hoa
1-1
AWAY Hoang Anh Gia Lai
64% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Thanh Hoa vs Hoang Anh Gia Lai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thanh Hoa and Hoang Anh Gia Lai couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Thanh Hoa at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Thanh Hoa had 64% of the ball to Hoang Anh Gia Lai's 36%, shots finished 14-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hoang Anh Gia Lai led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Thanh Hoa and 1.50 for Hoang Anh Gia Lai.

What was the final score of Thanh Hoa vs Hoang Anh Gia Lai?

Thanh Hoa 1-1 Hoang Anh Gia Lai in the Vietnam - V-League 1 on 23/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Thanh Hoa vs Hoang Anh Gia Lai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Thanh Hoa win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Thanh Hoa 48%, draw 23%, Hoang Anh Gia Lai 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Thanh Hoa), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Thanh Hoa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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