Indy Eleven vs Orange County SC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Indy Eleven v Orange County SC — Team-Based Signals
Indy Eleven vs Orange County SC Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Indy Eleven 0-1 Orange County SC — Actual Match Statistics
Orange County SC edged past Indy Eleven 1-0 on the road.
Our model won't enjoy this one — Indy Eleven at 55% was the clear read, and the result ignored it. Over a season these leads pay; on a single Tuesday, anything can happen.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 53% for over 2.5, 54% on both teams scoring.
By the numbers, possession split 65% to 35% in Indy Eleven's favour, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 1.12 to 0.47 — by the quality of chances, Indy Eleven deserved more.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for Indy Eleven against 1.00 for Orange County SC.
Indy Eleven vs Orange County SC Result & Final Score
Indy Eleven 0 - 1 Orange County SC in the USL Championship on 23/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Indy Eleven vs Orange County SC Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Indy Eleven win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Indy Eleven 55%, draw 23%, Orange County SC 21%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.