Indy Eleven vs Orange County SC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Indy Eleven v Orange County SC — Team-Based Signals
Indy Eleven vs Orange County SC Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Indy Eleven
USLP
3-1
HT 0-1
Orange County SC
USLP
Indy Eleven 0-1 Orange County SC — Actual Match Statistics
Orange County SC edged past Indy Eleven 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Indy Eleven at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Indy Eleven had 65% of the ball to Orange County SC's 35%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 1.12 to 0.47 — on chances, Indy Eleven could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Indy Eleven and 1.00 for Orange County SC.
What was the final score of Indy Eleven vs Orange County SC?
Indy Eleven 0-1 Orange County SC in the USL Championship on 23/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Indy Eleven vs Orange County SC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Indy Eleven win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Indy Eleven 44%, draw 26%, Orange County SC 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Indy Eleven) went the other way.