Las Vegas Lights 1-1 Memphis 901 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 23 Jun 2024

📅23/06/2024 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
31%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.06
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
3.08
6+ Goals
12%
9.86
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
26%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
41%
+2.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
31%
Away Win
34%
-2.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.9pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Las Vegas Lights EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Memphis 901 EU Bookmakers 37%
-20% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +13%
1.43/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.50
+3% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
346 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 74%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
19.8 Crosses 14.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Las Vegas Lights
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Memphis 901
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.68 xG 1.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
315 Passes 313
74% Pass Accuracy 74%
23 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.03.2024 Memphis 901 Memphis 901 2-1 HT 2-1 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights USLP
16.04.2023 Memphis 901 Memphis 901 2-2 HT 1-1 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights USLP
27.03.2022 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights 0-1 HT 0-0 Memphis 901 Memphis 901 USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Las Vegas Lights
1-1
AWAY Memphis 901
1.18 xG 0.62
61% Ball Possession 39%
9 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
474 Passes 287
87% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 12
15 Crosses 7
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Las Vegas Lights vs Memphis 901
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Las Vegas Lights and Memphis 901 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Las Vegas Lights at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Las Vegas Lights had 61% of the ball to Memphis 901's 39%, shots finished 9-8, expected goals 1.18 to 0.62.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Memphis 901 led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Las Vegas Lights and 1.67 for Memphis 901.

What was the final score of Las Vegas Lights vs Memphis 901?

Las Vegas Lights 1-1 Memphis 901 in the USL Championship on 23/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Las Vegas Lights vs Memphis 901?

Before kick-off our model rated a Las Vegas Lights win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Las Vegas Lights 43%, draw 26%, Memphis 901 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Las Vegas Lights), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Las Vegas Lights) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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