Memphis 901 2-1 Las Vegas Lights — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.31
2-3 Goals
38%
1.88
4-5 Goals
25%
2.98
6+ Goals
11%
9.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
59%
-9.2pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.8pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+5.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.4pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Memphis 901 EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Las Vegas Lights EU Bookmakers 22%
+3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -2%
1.78/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.71
+40% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -19%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
348 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 75%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
16.8 Crosses 14.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Memphis 901
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Las Vegas Lights
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.34 xG 0.87
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
339 Passes 286
76% Pass Accuracy 72%
19 Box Touches 26
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.04.2023 Memphis 901 Memphis 901 2-2 HT 1-1 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights USLP
27.03.2022 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights 0-1 HT 0-0 Memphis 901 Memphis 901 USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Memphis 901
2-1
AWAY Las Vegas Lights
1.32 xG 0.31
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
260 Passes 374
71% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 15
12 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Memphis 901 vs Las Vegas Lights
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Memphis 901 edged past Las Vegas Lights 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Memphis 901 as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Memphis 901 had 43% of the ball to Las Vegas Lights's 57%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 1.32 to 0.31.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Memphis 901 had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Memphis 901 and 1.00 for Las Vegas Lights.

What was the final score of Memphis 901 vs Las Vegas Lights?

Memphis 901 2-1 Las Vegas Lights in the USL Championship on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Memphis 901 vs Las Vegas Lights?

Before kick-off our model rated a Memphis 901 win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Memphis 901 50%, draw 26%, Las Vegas Lights 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Memphis 901), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Memphis 901) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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