Miami FC 2-0 Colorado Springs — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.88
2-3 Goals
37%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.17
6+ Goals
10%
10.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.88 — our 30% vs market 20.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
31%
+2.7pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.1pp
42%
Away Win
44%
-1.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.1pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Miami FC EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Colorado Springs EU Bookmakers 48%
+3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.39/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.36
+20% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
319 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 78%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.1
16.2 Crosses 12.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Miami FC
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Colorado Springs
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.34 xG 1.29
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
360 Passes 359
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 27
13 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
02.07.2023 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 2-0 HT 0-0 Miami FC Miami FC USLP
03.04.2022 Miami FC Miami FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Miami FC
2-0
AWAY Colorado Springs
1.85 xG 1.11
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 9
240 Passes 420
74% Pass Accuracy 85%
14 Box Touches 43
8 Crosses 32
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Miami FC vs Colorado Springs
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Miami FC got the better of Colorado Springs 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Colorado Springs at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Miami FC had 39% of the ball to Colorado Springs's 61%, shots finished 10-21, expected goals 1.85 to 1.11.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Colorado Springs led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Miami FC and 2.00 for Colorado Springs.

What was the final score of Miami FC vs Colorado Springs?

Miami FC 2-0 Colorado Springs in the USL Championship on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Miami FC vs Colorado Springs?

Before kick-off our model rated an Colorado Springs win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Miami FC 33%, draw 25%, Colorado Springs 42%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Colorado Springs) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Colorado Springs) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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