FC Tulsa 0-0 Sacramento Republic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 23 Jun 2024

📅23/06/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.29
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
46%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.48
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.43
6+ Goals
9%
12.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.48 — our 28% vs market 23.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
27%
+5.5pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.0pp
46%
Away Win
47%
-1.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.1pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Tulsa EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Sacramento Republic EU Bookmakers 51%
-8% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.45/1.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.06
+13% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +101%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
283 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 77%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
15.4 Crosses 18.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Tulsa
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Sacramento Republic
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.69 xG 1.97
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
272 Passes 351
73% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 25
12 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.04.2024 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic 1-1 HT 1-0 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa USLP
30.04.2023 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa 1-1 HT 0-0 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic USLP
28.03.2022 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic 2-1 HT 1-1 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa USLP
08.03.2020 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic 1-1 HT 1-0 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa USLP
06.10.2019 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa 2-3 HT 2-2 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic USLP
23.06.2019 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic 6-0 HT 2-0 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Tulsa
0-0
AWAY Sacramento Republic
1.12 xG 1.35
35% Ball Possession 65%
11 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 8
183 Passes 403
68% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 25
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Tulsa vs Sacramento Republic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Tulsa and Sacramento Republic fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Sacramento Republic at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, FC Tulsa had 35% of the ball to Sacramento Republic's 65%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 1.12 to 1.35.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sacramento Republic led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FC Tulsa and 2.33 for Sacramento Republic.

What was the final score of FC Tulsa vs Sacramento Republic?

FC Tulsa 0-0 Sacramento Republic in the USL Championship on 23/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Tulsa vs Sacramento Republic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sacramento Republic win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split FC Tulsa 33%, draw 22%, Sacramento Republic 46%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sacramento Republic) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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