İB Vestmannaeyjar 1-2 Afturelding — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 23 Jun 2025

📅23/06/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.0
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
1.8
Over 2.5
59%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.76
No
41%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-3.1pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.2pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+0.9pp
41%
Under 2.5
52%
-10.5pp
59%
Over 2.5
48%
+10.5pp
59%
BTTS Yes
53%
+6.0pp
41%
BTTS No
47%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İB Vestmannaeyjar EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Afturelding EU Bookmakers 30%
+1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.14/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.06
-24% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +53%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
280 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 75%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.8
23.6 Crosses 20.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İB Vestmannaeyjar
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Afturelding
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.24 xG 0.80
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
245 Passes 452
73% Pass Accuracy 87%
27 Box Touches 13
20 Crosses 15
5 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2025 Afturelding Afturelding 0-0 HT 0-0 İB Vestmannaeyjar İB Vestmannaeyjar İZL
24.08.2024 İB Vestmannaeyjar İB Vestmannaeyjar 2-3 HT 1-1 Afturelding Afturelding İZL1
20.06.2024 Afturelding Afturelding 0-3 HT 0-1 İB Vestmannaeyjar İB Vestmannaeyjar İZL1
31.07.2021 İB Vestmannaeyjar İB Vestmannaeyjar 2-0 HT 1-0 Afturelding Afturelding İZL1
21.05.2021 Afturelding Afturelding 0-5 HT 0-3 İB Vestmannaeyjar İB Vestmannaeyjar İZL1
19.08.2020 İB Vestmannaeyjar İB Vestmannaeyjar 1-0 HT 1-0 Afturelding Afturelding İZL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İB Vestmannaeyjar
1-2
AWAY Afturelding
2.84 xG 0.79
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
300 Passes 156
71% Pass Accuracy 60%
28 Box Touches 15
24 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH İB Vestmannaeyjar vs Afturelding
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Afturelding nicked a narrow win over İB Vestmannaeyjar 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was İB Vestmannaeyjar at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, İB Vestmannaeyjar had 60% of the ball to Afturelding's 40%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 2.84 to 0.79 — on chances, İB Vestmannaeyjar could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, İB Vestmannaeyjar had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for İB Vestmannaeyjar and 0.50 for Afturelding.

What was the final score of İB Vestmannaeyjar vs Afturelding?

İB Vestmannaeyjar 1-2 Afturelding in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 23/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İB Vestmannaeyjar vs Afturelding?

Before kick-off our model rated a İB Vestmannaeyjar win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split İB Vestmannaeyjar 43%, draw 29%, Afturelding 28%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (İB Vestmannaeyjar) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (İB Vestmannaeyjar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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