Valur 6-1 KR Reykjavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 23 Jun 2025

📅23/06/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.82
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
27%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.28
No
42%
3.34
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
51%
+1.4pp
21%
Draw
21%
-0.0pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-1.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
74%
-15.7pp
42%
BTTS No
26%
+15.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valur EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY KR Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 32%
+5% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -8%
1.92/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.82
+27% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
365 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 82%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.9
15.6 Crosses 22.5
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valur
4W-2D-0L
AWAY KR Reykjavik
3.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.39 xG 1.49
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
299 Passes 316
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
26 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.04.2025 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 3-3 HT 1-1 Valur Valur İZL
16.09.2024 Valur Valur 4-1 HT 2-0 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
03.06.2024 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 3-5 HT 2-4 Valur Valur İZL
24.09.2023 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 2-2 HT 0-1 Valur Valur İZL
31.07.2023 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 0-4 HT 0-2 Valur Valur İZL
07.05.2023 Valur Valur 5-0 HT 2-0 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valur
6-1
AWAY KR Reykjavik
3.51 xG 2.28
34% Ball Possession 66%
16 Total Shots 19
11 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
171 Passes 426
66% Pass Accuracy 84%
35 Box Touches 24
11 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Valur vs KR Reykjavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valur swept aside KR Reykjavik 6-1. Half-time: 3-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Valur as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Valur had 34% of the ball to KR Reykjavik's 66%, shots finished 16-19, expected goals 3.51 to 2.28.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valur had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 3.83 goals for Valur and 1.50 for KR Reykjavik.

What was the final score of Valur vs KR Reykjavik?

Valur 6-1 KR Reykjavik in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 23/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valur vs KR Reykjavik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valur win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Valur 52%, draw 21%, KR Reykjavik 27%. The final score 6-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valur), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Valur) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İZL More Iceland - Urvalsdeild
23 Jun 2025
21:00 İB Vestmannaeyjar vs Afturelding Analysis →
22:15 Breidablik vs Fram Reykjavik Analysis →