Mushuc Runa 0-5 Barcelona SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 23 Jun 2025

📅23/06/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
1.8
Over
55%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
57%
1.75
No
43%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
38%
4-5
25%
6+
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
45%
Home Win
44%
+0.7pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.2pp
29%
Away Win
29%
+0.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
52%
-6.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
48%
+6.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.7pp
43%
BTTS No
47%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mushuc Runa The Market 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Barcelona SC The Market 32%
+5% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +6%
1.43/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.28
+45% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
273 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 76%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
23.1 Crosses 16.3
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mushuc Runa
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Barcelona SC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.03 xG 1.89
38% Ball Possession 62%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
157 Passes 273
66% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 2
24.02.2025 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 1-0 HT 0-0 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
01.12.2024 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 2-2 HT 1-1 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
03.06.2024 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 1-0 HT 0-0 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
27.08.2023 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 2-2 HT 0-1 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
02.04.2023 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 1-0 HT 0-0 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
08.08.2022 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 4-1 HT 2-1 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mushuc Runa
0-5
AWAY Barcelona SC
0.80 xG 3.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 5
138 Passes 247
60% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mushuc Runa vs Barcelona SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barcelona SC ran out comfortable winners over Mushuc Runa 5-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Mushuc Runa at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

On the day, Mushuc Runa had 43% of the ball to Barcelona SC's 57%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 0.80 to 3.00.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barcelona SC led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mushuc Runa and 1.67 for Barcelona SC.

What was the final score of Mushuc Runa vs Barcelona SC?

Mushuc Runa 0-5 Barcelona SC in the Ecuador - Premier on 23/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mushuc Runa vs Barcelona SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mushuc Runa win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Mushuc Runa 45%, draw 26%, Barcelona SC 29%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Mushuc Runa), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mushuc Runa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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