Defensor Sporting vs Cerro Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Defensor Sporting v Cerro — Team-Based Signals
Defensor Sporting vs Cerro Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Defensor Sporting
URU
1-1
HT 1-1
Cerro
URU
0-1
HT 0-0
Cerro
URU2
Defensor Sporting 2-1 Cerro — Actual Match Statistics
Defensor Sporting squeezed past Cerro 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Defensor Sporting as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Defensor Sporting had 65% of the ball to Cerro's 35%, shots finished 16-11.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Defensor Sporting had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Defensor Sporting and 1.00 for Cerro.
What was the final score of Defensor Sporting vs Cerro?
Defensor Sporting 2-1 Cerro in the Uruguay - Premier League on 23/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Defensor Sporting vs Cerro?
Before kick-off our model rated a Defensor Sporting win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Defensor Sporting 52%, draw 22%, Cerro 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Defensor Sporting), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.