Cardiff City 1-1 Mamelodi Sundowns — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 23 Jul 2024

📅23/07/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.53
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
31%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
No
45%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
15%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
36%
+5.3pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.5pp
31%
Away Win
38%
-6.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cardiff City EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Mamelodi Sundowns EU Bookmakers 42%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -54% / -54%
1.19/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
-18% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -31%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
319 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cardiff City
1-1
AWAY Mamelodi Sundowns
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Cardiff City vs Mamelodi Sundowns
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cardiff City and Mamelodi Sundowns shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Cardiff City at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Cardiff City had 36% of the ball to Mamelodi Sundowns's 64%, shots finished 8-16.

What was the final score of Cardiff City vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

Cardiff City 1-1 Mamelodi Sundowns in the Friendlies on 23/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cardiff City vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cardiff City win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Cardiff City 41%, draw 28%, Mamelodi Sundowns 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cardiff City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cardiff City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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