Celta Vigo 2-1 Sporting Gijon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 23 Jul 2024

Celta Vigo
2-1 HT 1-1
Sporting Gijon
📅23/07/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Friendlies – 2024/2025

Celta Vigo vs Sporting Gijon Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.72
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
32%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.91
Over 2.5
44%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.46
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.45
6+ Goals
9%
13.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.46 — our 29% vs market 23.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
54%
-10.5pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.2pp
32%
Away Win
21%
+10.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.7pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Celta Vigo v Sporting Gijon — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celta Vigo EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Gijon EU Bookmakers 24%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
2.65/0.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.14
+45% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +52%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
368 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.4 Yellow Cards –

Celta Vigo vs Sporting Gijon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Celta Vigo
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Sporting Gijon
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
424 Passes 200
80% Pass Accuracy 65%
17 Box Touches 37
14 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.02.2017 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 1-1 HT 0-0 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo İS1
21.09.2016 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 2-1 HT 0-0 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS1
10.04.2016 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 0-1 HT 0-0 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo İS1
28.11.2015 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 2-1 HT 1-0 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS1
30.03.2008 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 0-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
28.10.2007 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 0-1 HT 0-0 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo İS2
POST-MATCH Celta Vigo vs Sporting Gijon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celta Vigo nicked a narrow win over Sporting Gijon 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Celta Vigo as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celta Vigo had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Celta Vigo and 0.50 for Sporting Gijon.

What was the final score of Celta Vigo vs Sporting Gijon?

Celta Vigo 2-1 Sporting Gijon in the Friendlies on 23/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celta Vigo vs Sporting Gijon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Celta Vigo win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Celta Vigo 44%, draw 24%, Sporting Gijon 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celta Vigo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Celta Vigo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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