Shanghai Shenhua 3-3 Henan Jianye — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - FA Cup, 23 Jul 2025

Shanghai Shenhua
3-3 HT 1-1
Henan Jianye
📅23/07/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
China Halk Cumhuriyeti - FA Cup – 2025

Shanghai Shenhua vs Henan Jianye Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
31%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.29
Over 2.5
52%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.58
2-3 Goals
40%
1.9
4-5 Goals
23%
2.72
6+ Goals
11%
7.23
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.58 — our 26% vs market 16.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1.98
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
8%
13.85
X/1
17%
4.45
X/2
13%
11.35
X/X
8%
6.17
2/1
6%
20.7
2/2
11%
8.39
2/X
7%
15.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
59%
-13.1pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.5pp
30%
Away Win
18%
+12.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
40%
+8.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
60%
-8.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.1pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Shanghai Shenhua v Henan Jianye — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shanghai Shenhua EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Henan Jianye EU Bookmakers 21%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -37% / -37%
1.80/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/2.45
-9% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / -35%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
347 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Shanghai Shenhua vs Henan Jianye Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shanghai Shenhua
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Henan Jianye
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.77 xG 1.11
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
350 Passes 252
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
30 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.03.2025 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 1-3 HT 1-0 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİNSL
18.10.2024 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 2-1 HT 0-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİNSL
21.05.2024 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 1-2 HT 0-2 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİN
16.09.2023 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 3-0 HT 0-0 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİN
28.05.2023 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 1-1 HT 0-1 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİN
27.12.2022 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 1-1 HT 0-0 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİN
POST-MATCH Shanghai Shenhua vs Henan Jianye
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shanghai Shenhua and Henan Jianye couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Shanghai Shenhua at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shanghai Shenhua had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Shanghai Shenhua and 1.33 for Henan Jianye.

What was the final score of Shanghai Shenhua vs Henan Jianye?

Shanghai Shenhua 3-3 Henan Jianye in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - FA Cup on 23/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shanghai Shenhua vs Henan Jianye?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shanghai Shenhua win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Shanghai Shenhua 46%, draw 23%, Henan Jianye 30%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Shanghai Shenhua) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shanghai Shenhua) ✓ Over 2.5
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