Qingdao Jonoon 1-2 Chengdu Qianbao — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - FA Cup, 23 Jul 2025

📅23/07/2025 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.4
Draw
29%
4.19
Away
50%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.23
Over 2.5
49%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.76
No
55%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.41
2-3 Goals
35%
1.88
4-5 Goals
22%
2.77
6+ Goals
14%
7.66
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.41 — our 29% vs market 17.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
11.45
1/2
8%
21.15
1/X
7%
18.9
X/1
6%
14.2
X/2
13%
4.1
X/X
14%
6.73
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
29%
1.72
2/X
8%
16.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
15%
+6.2pp
29%
Draw
20%
+8.5pp
50%
Away Win
65%
-14.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.7pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Qingdao Jonoon EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao EU Bookmakers 70%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
0.00/2.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.35/0.00
-100% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -83% /
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
275 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 444 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Qingdao Jonoon
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
0.49 xG 2.63
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 7
304 Passes 407
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
10 Box Touches 32
8 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.05.2025 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 1-1 HT 1-1 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
12.04.2025 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 0-1 HT 0-1 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNSL
27.10.2024 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 1-1 HT 1-0 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNSL
26.06.2024 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 1-5 HT 1-2 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNSL
26.05.2024 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 7-0 HT 3-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
02.03.2024 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 2-0 HT 1-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
POST-MATCH Qingdao Jonoon vs Chengdu Qianbao
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chengdu Qianbao edged past Qingdao Jonoon 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Chengdu Qianbao as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chengdu Qianbao led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Qingdao Jonoon and 2.83 for Chengdu Qianbao.

What was the final score of Qingdao Jonoon vs Chengdu Qianbao?

Qingdao Jonoon 1-2 Chengdu Qianbao in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - FA Cup on 23/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Qingdao Jonoon vs Chengdu Qianbao?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chengdu Qianbao win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Qingdao Jonoon 21%, draw 29%, Chengdu Qianbao 50%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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