Queens Park Rangers 2-2 Cardiff City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 23 Jul 2025

📅23/07/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.38
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
41%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.02
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.58
6+ Goals
9%
14.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.02 — our 27% vs market 26.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
38%
-3.1pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.7pp
40%
Away Win
35%
+5.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.0pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Queens Park Rangers EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Cardiff City EU Bookmakers 38%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
2.48/0.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/0.18
+59% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +150%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
308 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Queens Park Rangers
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Cardiff City
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.09 xG 0.90
52% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
349 Passes 311
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.04.2025 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 0-0 HT 0-0 Cardiff City Cardiff City İNCL
27.11.2024 Cardiff City Cardiff City 0-2 HT 0-1 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNCL
01.01.2024 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 1-2 HT 0-1 Cardiff City Cardiff City İNCL
12.08.2023 Cardiff City Cardiff City 1-2 HT 0-1 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNCL
26.12.2022 Cardiff City Cardiff City 0-0 HT 0-0 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNCL
19.10.2022 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 3-0 HT 2-0 Cardiff City Cardiff City İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Queens Park Rangers
2-2
AWAY Cardiff City
31% Ball Possession 69%
6 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Queens Park Rangers vs Cardiff City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Queens Park Rangers and Cardiff City couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match split (35% / 24% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Queens Park Rangers had 31% of the ball to Cardiff City's 69%, shots finished 6-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Queens Park Rangers had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Queens Park Rangers and 0.50 for Cardiff City.

What was the final score of Queens Park Rangers vs Cardiff City?

Queens Park Rangers 2-2 Cardiff City in the Friendlies on 23/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Queens Park Rangers vs Cardiff City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cardiff City win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Queens Park Rangers 35%, draw 24%, Cardiff City 40%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cardiff City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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