Guingamp 2-2 Concarneau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 23 Jul 2025

📅23/07/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.61
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.91
Over 2.5
43%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.85
No
58%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
58%
-7.1pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.1pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+7.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
50%
-7.8pp
58%
BTTS No
50%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guingamp EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Concarneau EU Bookmakers 22%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
-1% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -14%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
348 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guingamp
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Concarneau
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
1.66 xG 0.92
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
272 Passes 404
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
30 Box Touches 12
22 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
19.07.2024 Guingamp Guingamp 2-1 HT 0-1 Concarneau Concarneau HAZ
09.03.2024 Concarneau Concarneau 2-3 HT 0-1 Guingamp Guingamp FR2
16.12.2023 Guingamp Guingamp 0-1 HT 0-0 Concarneau Concarneau FR2
05.03.2015 Concarneau Concarneau 1-2 HT 1-1 Guingamp Guingamp FRK
21.01.2014 Concarneau Concarneau 1-1 HT 0-0 Guingamp Guingamp FRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guingamp
2-2
AWAY Concarneau
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Guingamp vs Concarneau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guingamp and Concarneau shared the points in a 2-2 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Guingamp at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Guingamp had 57% of the ball to Concarneau's 43%, shots finished 12-12.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Guingamp had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Guingamp and 1.20 for Concarneau.

What was the final score of Guingamp vs Concarneau?

Guingamp 2-2 Concarneau in the Friendlies on 23/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guingamp vs Concarneau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guingamp win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Guingamp 51%, draw 23%, Concarneau 26%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Guingamp) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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