Stade Lavallois 1-1 Rouen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 23 Jul 2025

Stade Lavallois
1-1 HT 1-0
Rouen
📅23/07/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Friendlies – 2025/2026

Stade Lavallois vs Rouen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.92
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
33%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.95
Over 2.5
46%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.4
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.26
6+ Goals
10%
11.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.4 — our 31% vs market 23.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
48%
-10.5pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.8pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+6.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.0pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stade Lavallois v Rouen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stade Lavallois EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Rouen EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
350 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Stade Lavallois vs Rouen Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stade Lavallois
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Rouen
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
The Meetings
10.01.2004 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 0-0 HT 0-0 Rouen Rouen FR2
09.08.2003 Rouen Rouen 1-1 HT 0-0 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2
POST-MATCH Stade Lavallois vs Rouen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stade Lavallois and Rouen couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Stade Lavallois and 0.50 for Rouen.

What was the final score of Stade Lavallois vs Rouen?

Stade Lavallois 1-1 Rouen in the Friendlies on 23/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stade Lavallois vs Rouen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stade Lavallois win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Stade Lavallois 38%, draw 29%, Rouen 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Stade Lavallois) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stade Lavallois) ✓ Under 2.5
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