Rancho Santana 1-2 Matagalpa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 23 Jul 2025

📅23/07/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.32
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
40%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.23
Over 2.5
49%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.53
No
49%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
26%
+7.7pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.1pp
40%
Away Win
48%
-7.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
61%
-10.3pp
49%
BTTS No
39%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rancho Santana EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Matagalpa EU Bookmakers 52%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -61% / -61%
1.20/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.41/1.41
-7% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -69% / -20%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
307 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rancho Santana
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Matagalpa
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 5
27.02.2025 Matagalpa Matagalpa 2-1 HT 1-0 Rancho Santana Rancho Santana NİK
04.11.2024 Matagalpa Matagalpa 1-0 HT 0-0 Rancho Santana Rancho Santana NİK
25.08.2024 Rancho Santana Rancho Santana 1-0 HT 1-0 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
POST-MATCH Rancho Santana vs Matagalpa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Matagalpa edged past Rancho Santana 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (34% / 26% / 40%) promised a tight game; Matagalpa found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Matagalpa led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Rancho Santana and 1.00 for Matagalpa.

What was the final score of Rancho Santana vs Matagalpa?

Rancho Santana 1-2 Matagalpa in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 23/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rancho Santana vs Matagalpa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Matagalpa win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Rancho Santana 34%, draw 26%, Matagalpa 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Matagalpa), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Matagalpa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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