UNAN Managua 1-1 Real Esteli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 23 Jul 2025

UNAN Managua
1-1 HT 1-1
Real Esteli
📅23/07/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Nikaragua - Premier League – 2025/2026

UNAN Managua vs Real Esteli Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
5.91
Draw
27%
4.49
Away
54%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.1
Over 2.5
56%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.95
No
45%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
13%
1/X
9%
X/1
6%
X/2
20%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
14%
+4.9pp
27%
Draw
19%
+7.9pp
54%
Away Win
67%
-12.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
47%
+7.7pp
45%
BTTS No
53%
-7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

UNAN Managua v Real Esteli — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UNAN Managua EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Esteli EU Bookmakers 71%
-7% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -15%
0.80/1.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.25/1.06
-26% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -13%
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
230 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3

UNAN Managua vs Real Esteli Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UNAN Managua
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Real Esteli
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
37% Ball Possession 64%
6 Total Shots 24
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.05.2025 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua 1-2 HT 1-1 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
18.03.2024 Real Esteli Real Esteli 3-0 HT 0-0 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua NİK
22.01.2024 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua 0-2 HT 0-1 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
23.09.2023 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua 1-2 HT 1-0 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
21.04.2023 Real Esteli Real Esteli 4-1 HT 3-1 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua NİK
26.02.2023 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua 1-1 HT 1-0 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
POST-MATCH UNAN Managua vs Real Esteli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UNAN Managua and Real Esteli couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Real Esteli at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Esteli led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for UNAN Managua and 2.33 for Real Esteli.

What was the final score of UNAN Managua vs Real Esteli?

UNAN Managua 1-1 Real Esteli in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 23/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UNAN Managua vs Real Esteli?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Esteli win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split UNAN Managua 19%, draw 27%, Real Esteli 54%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Real Esteli), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Esteli) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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