San Jose Earthquakes 0-4 Orlando City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 23 Jul 2026

San Jose Earthquakes
0-4 HT 0-2
Orlando City
📅23/07/2026 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
USA - Major League – 2026

San Jose Earthquakes vs Orlando City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.64
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
22%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
3.46
Over 2.5
66%
1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.35
No
37%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
7.9
2-3 Goals
38%
2.3
4-5 Goals
28%
2.31
6+ Goals
16%
3.88
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.03
1/2
7%
30.5
1/X
5%
13.2
X/1
20%
4.83
X/2
6%
9.88
X/X
10%
7.64
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
16.65
2/2
10%
6.07
2/X
4%
14.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 16.65 — our 11% vs market 3.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
56%
+1.7pp
20%
Draw
20%
-0.8pp
22%
Away Win
23%
-1.0pp
34%
Under 2.5
25%
+8.1pp
66%
Over 2.5
75%
-8.1pp
63%
BTTS Yes
70%
-7.1pp
37%
BTTS No
30%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

San Jose Earthquakes v Orlando City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Jose Earthquakes EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Orlando City EU Bookmakers 27%
-11% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +5%
2.19/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.77
-13% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
392 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 79%
31.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
25.0 Crosses 14.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3

San Jose Earthquakes vs Orlando City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Jose Earthquakes
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Orlando City
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.39 xG 1.86
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
372 Passes 344
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
19.05.2024 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 0-1 HT 0-0 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
23.06.2021 Orlando City Orlando City 5-0 HT 3-0 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes ABD
01.09.2019 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 3-0 HT 3-0 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
22.04.2018 Orlando City Orlando City 3-2 HT 2-0 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes ABD
18.05.2017 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 1-1 HT 0-0 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
19.06.2016 Orlando City Orlando City 2-2 HT 0-0 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes ABD

San Jose Earthquakes 0-4 Orlando City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Jose Earthquakes
0-4
AWAY Orlando City
1.18 xG 1.61
11 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 2
339 Passes 319
18 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ San Jose Earthquakes vs Orlando City
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Orlando City ran out comfortable winners over San Jose Earthquakes 4-0 away from home in the USA - Major League on 23 Jul 2026. Half-time: 0-2.

The goals market leaned clearly over 2.5, at 66% and both teams to score was favoured at 63%.

On the day, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 1.18 to 1.61.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Orlando City lead the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for San Jose Earthquakes and 2.00 for Orlando City.

What was the final score of San Jose Earthquakes vs Orlando City?

San Jose Earthquakes 0-4 Orlando City in the USA - Major League on 23/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Jose Earthquakes vs Orlando City?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Jose Earthquakes win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split San Jose Earthquakes 58%, draw 20%, Orlando City 22%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (San Jose Earthquakes), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (San Jose Earthquakes) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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