Philadelphia Union vs New York Red Bulls Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Philadelphia Union v New York Red Bulls — Team-Based Signals
Philadelphia Union vs New York Red Bulls Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-1
HT 1-1
New York Red Bulls
ABD
Philadelphia Union 3-1 New York Red Bulls — Actual Match Statistics
Philadelphia Union got the better of New York Red Bulls 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Philadelphia Union as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) came in.
On the day, shots finished 24-9, expected goals 3.25 to 0.79.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Philadelphia Union had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Philadelphia Union and 0.67 for New York Red Bulls.
What was the final score of Philadelphia Union vs New York Red Bulls?
Philadelphia Union 3-1 New York Red Bulls in the USA - Major League on 23/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Philadelphia Union vs New York Red Bulls?
Before kick-off our model rated a Philadelphia Union win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Philadelphia Union 50%, draw 25%, New York Red Bulls 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Philadelphia Union), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.