Charlotte 2-2 Atlanta United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 23 Jul 2026

📅23/07/2026 · 🕒03:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
35%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.1
Over 2.5
49%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.92
2-3 Goals
43%
1.81
4-5 Goals
21%
2.97
6+ Goals
10%
9.36
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.9
1/2
8%
30.0
1/X
7%
12.0
X/1
11%
5.17
X/2
11%
7.04
X/X
13%
5.01
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
23.1
2/2
16%
4.69
2/X
6%
12.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.1 — our 12% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-5.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
35%
Away Win
29%
+5.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.7pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Charlotte EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Atlanta United EU Bookmakers 33%
+6% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -23%
1.45/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.56
-8% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / -1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
360 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 79%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
17.4 Crosses 17.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Charlotte
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Atlanta United
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.40 xG 1.45
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
366 Passes 448
84% Pass Accuracy 87%
20 Box Touches 33
14 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.04.2026 Charlotte Charlotte 0-2 HT 0-1 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABDK
20.07.2025 Atlanta United Atlanta United 2-3 HT 1-0 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
01.03.2025 Charlotte Charlotte 2-0 HT 0-0 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
01.09.2024 Charlotte Charlotte 0-1 HT 0-0 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
02.06.2024 Atlanta United Atlanta United 2-3 HT 1-1 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
14.05.2023 Atlanta United Atlanta United 1-3 HT 0-1 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Charlotte
2-2
AWAY Atlanta United
3.07 xG 1.60
24 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
441 Passes 425
36 Box Touches 21
25 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ Charlotte vs Atlanta United
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Charlotte and Atlanta United shared the points in a 2-2 draw in the USA - Major League on 23 Jul 2026. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, shots finished 24-12, expected goals 3.07 to 1.60.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Charlotte have the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Charlotte and 1.33 for Atlanta United.

What was the final score of Charlotte vs Atlanta United?

Charlotte 2-2 Atlanta United in the USA - Major League on 23/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Charlotte vs Atlanta United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Charlotte win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Charlotte 39%, draw 26%, Atlanta United 35%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Charlotte), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Charlotte) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ABD More USA - Major League
23 Jul 2026
02:30 New England Revolution vs Toronto FC Analysis →
02:30 FC Cincinnati vs Vancouver Whitecaps Analysis →
02:30 Inter Miami vs Chicago Fire Analysis →
02:30 Columbus Crew vs New York City FC Analysis →
02:30 Philadelphia Union vs New York Red Bulls Analysis →
03:30 Sporting Kansas City vs Minnesota United Analysis →