Sporting Kansas City 2-1 Minnesota United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 23 Jul 2026

Sporting Kansas City
2-1 HT 1-0
Minnesota United
📅23/07/2026 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✓
USA - Major League – 2026

Sporting Kansas City vs Minnesota United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.8
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.29
Over 2.5
54%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.49
No
44%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.5
2-3 Goals
39%
1.87
4-5 Goals
26%
2.75
6+ Goals
11%
7.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.28
1/2
8%
22.25
1/X
6%
12.65
X/1
15%
6.77
X/2
13%
5.32
X/X
11%
5.51
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
27.0
2/2
18%
2.94
2/X
6%
12.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 27.0 — our 8% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
32%
+5.9pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.6pp
39%
Away Win
43%
-4.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
40%
+6.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
60%
-6.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
63%
-6.6pp
44%
BTTS No
37%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sporting Kansas City v Minnesota United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Kansas City EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Minnesota United EU Bookmakers 48%
-12% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.18/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/0.94
-17% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / +91%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
350 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 83%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.8
18.6 Crosses 26.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5

Sporting Kansas City vs Minnesota United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Kansas City
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Minnesota United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.02 xG 1.44
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
454 Passes 312
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.10.2025 Minnesota United Minnesota United 3-0 HT 1-0 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City ABD
16.03.2025 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 3-3 HT 0-2 Minnesota United Minnesota United ABD
22.09.2024 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 0-2 HT 0-0 Minnesota United Minnesota United ABD
02.06.2024 Minnesota United Minnesota United 3-1 HT 1-0 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City ABD
28.04.2024 Minnesota United Minnesota United 2-1 HT 2-1 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City ABD
22.10.2023 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 3-1 HT 2-0 Minnesota United Minnesota United ABD

Sporting Kansas City 2-1 Minnesota United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Kansas City
2-1
AWAY Minnesota United
1.01 xG 1.48
11 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 6
237 Passes 505
16 Box Touches 34
7 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ Sporting Kansas City vs Minnesota United
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Sporting Kansas City edged past Minnesota United 2-1 in the USA - Major League on 23 Jul 2026. Half-time: 1-0.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 56%.

On the day, shots finished 11-16, expected goals 1.01 to 1.48.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Minnesota United lead the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sporting Kansas City and 2.33 for Minnesota United.

What was the final score of Sporting Kansas City vs Minnesota United?

Sporting Kansas City 2-1 Minnesota United in the USA - Major League on 23/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Kansas City vs Minnesota United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Minnesota United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sporting Kansas City 38%, draw 23%, Minnesota United 39%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Minnesota United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Minnesota United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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