Inter Miami 3-2 Chicago Fire — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 23 Jul 2026

📅23/07/2026 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.33
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
34%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
2.98
Over 2.5
67%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.32
No
34%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
7.0
2-3 Goals
35%
2.19
4-5 Goals
28%
2.36
6+ Goals
20%
4.39
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
3.33
1/2
8%
20.85
1/X
6%
12.05
X/1
9%
6.33
X/2
11%
6.28
X/X
8%
6.63
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
21.05
2/2
16%
3.29
2/X
6%
12.05
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.05 — our 11% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
39%
+6.2pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.4pp
34%
Away Win
38%
-3.8pp
33%
Under 2.5
30%
+3.0pp
67%
Over 2.5
70%
-3.0pp
66%
BTTS Yes
72%
-5.8pp
34%
BTTS No
28%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter Miami EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Chicago Fire EU Bookmakers 42%
+2% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +23%
1.50/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/1.50
+30% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +83% / +25%
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
363 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 425 · 85%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.2
14.5 Crosses 13.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter Miami
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Chicago Fire
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.90 xG 1.73
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
474 Passes 328
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 23
12 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.10.2025 Inter Miami Inter Miami 3-5 HT 1-3 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire ABD
13.04.2025 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 0-0 HT 0-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
01.09.2024 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 1-4 HT 0-1 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
21.07.2024 Inter Miami Inter Miami 2-1 HT 1-0 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire ABD
05.10.2023 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 4-1 HT 0-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
26.03.2023 Inter Miami Inter Miami 2-3 HT 1-2 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter Miami
3-2
AWAY Chicago Fire
2.29 xG 1.84
14 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
437 Passes 382
29 Box Touches 37
18 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Inter Miami vs Chicago Fire
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Inter Miami edged past Chicago Fire 3-2 in the USA - Major League on 23 Jul 2026. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

The goals market leaned clearly over 2.5, at 67% and both teams to score was favoured at 66%.

On the day, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 2.29 to 1.84.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chicago Fire lead the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Inter Miami and 2.33 for Chicago Fire.

What was the final score of Inter Miami vs Chicago Fire?

Inter Miami 3-2 Chicago Fire in the USA - Major League on 23/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter Miami vs Chicago Fire?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter Miami win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Inter Miami 45%, draw 21%, Chicago Fire 34%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter Miami), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Inter Miami) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ABD More USA - Major League
23 Jul 2026
02:30 New England Revolution vs Toronto FC Analysis →
02:30 FC Cincinnati vs Vancouver Whitecaps Analysis →
02:30 Columbus Crew vs New York City FC Analysis →
02:30 Philadelphia Union vs New York Red Bulls Analysis →
03:15 Charlotte vs Atlanta United Analysis →
03:30 Sporting Kansas City vs Minnesota United Analysis →