Charlotte 0-2 Atlanta United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Open Cup, 29 Apr 2026

📅29/04/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.02
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.07
Over 2.5
55%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.75
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
2.95
6+ Goals
11%
9.41
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
45%
+2.2pp
21%
Draw
26%
-4.6pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.4pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Charlotte EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Atlanta United EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / +76%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
377 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
Crosses 27.7
Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Charlotte
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Atlanta United
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.37 xG 1.43
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
352 Passes 432
83% Pass Accuracy 85%
21 Box Touches 30
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.07.2025 Atlanta United Atlanta United 2-3 HT 1-0 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
01.03.2025 Charlotte Charlotte 2-0 HT 0-0 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
01.09.2024 Charlotte Charlotte 0-1 HT 0-0 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
02.06.2024 Atlanta United Atlanta United 2-3 HT 1-1 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
14.05.2023 Atlanta United Atlanta United 1-3 HT 0-1 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
11.03.2023 Charlotte Charlotte 0-3 HT 0-3 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Charlotte
0-2
AWAY Atlanta United
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
430 Passes 362
85% Pass Accuracy 86%
POST-MATCH Charlotte vs Atlanta United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atlanta United saw off Charlotte 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Charlotte at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Charlotte had 55% of the ball to Atlanta United's 45%, shots finished 8-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Charlotte had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Charlotte and 1.50 for Atlanta United.

What was the final score of Charlotte vs Atlanta United?

Charlotte 0-2 Atlanta United in the USA - Open Cup on 29/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Charlotte vs Atlanta United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Charlotte win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Charlotte 47%, draw 21%, Atlanta United 31%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Charlotte) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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