St. Gallen vs Benfica Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
St. Gallen v Benfica — Team-Based Signals
St. Gallen 2-1 Benfica — Actual Match Statistics
St. Gallen nicked a narrow win over Benfica 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Benfica at 64% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, shots finished 17-14, expected goals 1.74 to 1.32.
What was the final score of St. Gallen vs Benfica?
St. Gallen 2-1 Benfica in the UEFA Europa League on 23/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for St. Gallen vs Benfica?
Before kick-off our model rated an Benfica win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split St. Gallen 17%, draw 19%, Benfica 64%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Benfica) went the other way.